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Comparison and Relationship among Indonesia Capital Market and Global Capital Market (Japan and UK Capital Market)

May 15, 2010

We can make a comparison among these three capital markets based on:

  • Number of listed company
  • Number of investors (volume of trading)
  • Composite index
  • Market capitalization
  • Types of products

Listed companies

Listed companies are firms whose shares are listed (quoted) on a stock exchange for public trading. Also called quoted company.

Number of listed companies is one of main indicators that used to measure capital market attractiveness.

The higher number of listed companies is better because it means that the investors will have more company to be selected as the firm where the investors will invest their money. So, the capital market will be more attractive to the investors.

This is the comparison:

Capital Market Companies that listed
Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) 2,370 companies
Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) 396 companies
London Stock Exchange (LSE) 3,008 companies

Volume of trading

Trading volume, sometimes simply referred to as volume, refers to the number of shares or contracts of a security traded during a defined time period. Most commonly, trading volume is measured daily, but depending on the security that is being traded, volume may be measured on longer timelines such as a week or a month. When investors or financial analysts see a large increase in volume, it may indicate a significant change in the price of security. Significant losses and earnings will generally lead to movement in the trading volume for that stock. High transaction volume is also indicate that the attractiveness of capital market.

Market index

Market index is an index which is designed to measure price changes of an overall market, such as the stock market or the bond market.

A market index (for instance the FTSE100 index) gives an indication of the share price of the constituents of the relevant index. Hence the FTSE100 index reflects the share price of the 100 top UK companies that comprise the index. If the share prices of the constituent companies rise, so will the index and if they fall the index will fall.

Below is the capital market index for last 5 years:

Capital Market December, 31 2005 December, 31 2006 December, 31 2007 December, 31 2008 December, 31 2009
Indonesia (JKSE) 1,171.71 1,805.52 2,745.83 1,355.41 1272.78
Japan (NIKKEI) 16,111.43 17,225.83 15,307.78 8,859.56 10,546.44
UK (FTSE100) 5,618.80 6,220.80 6,456.90 4,434.20 5412.9

From market index, we can also calculate/expect the risk, return, and covariance for each market. We can use statistic tool to calculate the risk, return, and covariance (here I use Microsoft excel 2007 and the past 5 years data of capital market index).

Below is the result:

Market index Risk (standard deviation) Market Return
JKSE 0,0388809 109,6730%
NIKKEI 0,0335082 6,5584%
FTSE 0,029189 21,9004%

From the result we can see that the performance of Indonesia capital market is the best among those three capital market. The risk is not too different but the market return in Indonesia capital market is much higher than if we invest in Japan or UK capital market. The investor should be interested to invest their money in Indonesia capital market.

Market Capitalization of Listed Companies

Market capitalization represents the aggregate value of a company or stock. It is obtained by multiplying the number of shares outstanding by their current price per share.

Market capitalization is one of the basic measures of a publicly-traded company; it is a way of determining the rough value of a company. Generally speaking, a higher market capitalization indicates a more valuable company. Many exchanges and indices are weighted for market capitalization. It is informally known as market cap.

Country name Market capitalization (in millions US $ )
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Indonesia $73,250.64 $81,428.12 $138,886 $211,693 $98,760.6
Japan $3,678,260 $4,736,510 $4,726,270 $4,453,470 $3,220,490
United Kingdom $2,815,930 $3,058,180 $3,794,310 $3,858,510 $1,851,950

Data are in current U.S. dollars. Source: Standard & Poor’s, Emerging Stock Markets Factbook and supplemental S&P data.

Types of product traded

Indonesia Stock exchange products:

Equities, Bond, Derivatives, Mutual Funds, Syariah Product

Tokyo Stock Exchange products:

Bonds, Convertible bonds, ETFs, REITs, Futures & Options, Carbon Market(Emissions Trading), TOKYO AIM

London Stock Exchange products:

Equity markets – enables companies from around the world to raise capital. There are four primary markets; Main Market, Alternative Investment Market (AIM), Professional Securities Market (PSM) and Specialist Fund Market (SFM).

Trading services – highly active market for trading in a range of securities, including UK and international equities, debt, covered warrants, exchange traded funds (ETFs), Exchange Traded Commodities (ETCs), reits, fixed interest, contracts for difference (CFDs) and depositary receipts.

Derivatives – A major contributor to derivatives business is EDX London, created in 2003 to bring the cash equity and derivatives markets closer together.

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Analysis of PT United Tractors Tbk Stock and Business Portfolio

November 4, 2009

Summary:

From the company stock return and market return analysis, the United Tractor has a good performance and the result of Average Stock Return equal to 0,1974% is good enough if we consider the global economic recession that shocked Indonesian economic in year 2008 and it will take time to fully recovered.

The way company deals with the problem also work and give great result. For example:

-          The Company has successfully accomplished Rights Issue to increase its capital just at the right time several months prior to the occurrence of global and national shock of capital market

-          In 2008, the Company’s equity rose into Rp11,131billion. The increase among others was due to the rights issue program, which had successfully accumulated fund (after deducted by the rights issue expenses) amounted to Rp3,564billion, consisted of paid-up capital addition of Rp3,446billion and paid-up capital of Rp119billion.

We can see that the United Tractors stock price is turning up from the first quarter of 2009 and keep the good performance till September 2009.

The beta (coefficient) of United Tractors is 0,343907962. Beta (coefficient) tells us how much United Tractors price changes for any given change in the IHSG.

From BCG analysis, I conclude that the three strategic business units of United Tractors are in a good performance. The sales and revenue that company gets from this three business unit also increases each year. There is neither “dog” nor “star” in United Tractors Company.

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summary

August 25, 2009

Joger is a clothing factory and shop in Bali with the funny words. May be similar to the Dagadu in Yogyakarta. Joger itself is a compendium. Namely Joseph (Joger owner) and Gerard (friend Joseph). According to the story of Mr. Joseph Gerard of the money is used to start the pioneer of the business is now growing rapidly and the people know as Joger.

In addition to its creativity in the wordplay and design, there is one other Joger uniqueness: it is exclusive. There is only one Joger store on this planet, so if you want to buy its products, you must go to Bali (or ask someone to go to Bali). Joger only allows maximum 12 pieces/items per transactions by a customer. Therefore, in the middle of competition that want to sell products as many as possible, Joger wants to limit its sales. The profit margin for exclusive items should be from its premium price, which is likely the Joger’s business model. But still, with only one store, we need to admire the owner for being exist as a different person among the common businessmen. The owner, Joseph T. Wuliandi or Mr. Joger, said his business is not profit oriented, but happiness oriented.

The Risks of the business

-          The hike in the price for raw materials.

-          Many competitors (other clothes factory).

-          The loss of creative team personnel.

-          The lack of ideas of funny words which is Joger’s icon.

The way company takes to deal with the risks

  • For the price of raw material, Joger can handle this situation by increasing the price of their product. They have any reasons to select this option; one of them is because Joger is well-known and has a lot of customer. It doesn’t matter if they set their price a little bit higher than before because many people still like to buy Joger products.
  • To prevent the walk out of the creative team personnel, Joger increase their salary each certain time. The owner also tried to make a fun work environment in order to minimizing stress in the workplace, so if the employee is happiness oriented and not money oriented they will be comfortable to work in Joger.
  • To compete with its competitors. JOGER have their own uniqueness. There is only one Joger store on this planet.
  • By asking the customer of Joger, I know that sometime the funny words (especially words on the Joger t-shirt) is not fun as in the past anymore. They have to be more creative in making their funny words. They also can try another language (English for example) to create new atmosphere in their business because until this time, almost all of their product use Indonesian language. Through this way they can attract more foreign customers to buy their product.         
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August 25, 2009

Business Risk Identification

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August 25, 2009

Risk Management

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